Baltimore Multifamily Market Overview
As 2025 comes to a close, the Baltimore MSA multifamily market has benefited from a more balanced supply environment, steady renter demand, and a capital markets landscape that, while challenging, showed signs of improvement late in the year. Compared to many major U.S. metros, Baltimore avoided occupancy and rent losses tied to oversupply and aggressive development cycles, positioning the market on a relatively stable footing heading into 2026.
1. Baltimore Benefited From a Construction Slowdown
Baltimore added approximately 1,400 units in 2025, a sharp slowdown after delivering more than 4,000 units in 2024. With just ~2,300 units under construction, representing roughly 1.1% of existing inventory, development activity is expected to remain muted into 2026, allowing for further vacancy compression and renewed opportunities for rent growth. New starts are likely to bottom in 2026, as permitting activity continues to run well below long-term averages. This restraint stands in contrast to larger markets still working through elevated delivery pipelines.
2. Fundamentals Improved as Supply and Demand Rebalanced
Baltimore’s vacancy rate hovered around ~7.5% throughout the year, remaining near long-term norms and well below levels seen in metros facing sustained oversupply. At the same time, the market absorbed more than 1,350 units, closely matching new deliveries. This balance between absorption and supply helped stabilize occupancy, limit concession pressure, and reinforce Baltimore’s reputation as a lower-volatility multifamily market.
3. Rent Growth Moderated but Remained Positive
Rent growth in Baltimore moderated from prior-cycle highs but remained positive in 2025, ending the year at approximately 1.0% year-over-year. While this pace trailed select high-growth coastal markets such as San Francisco (5.5%) and New York (2.1%), it compared favorably with several major metros facing oversupply-driven rent declines, including Raleigh (-1.3%) and Austin (-4.9%). Limited new inventory and steady renter demand helped support pricing, particularly in well-located Class B assets and suburban submarkets.
4. Sales Activity Slowed, but Conditions Began to Improve Late in the Year
Transaction activity remained constrained for much of the year as a higher-for-longer interest rate environment limited deal flow. Momentum began to shift later in the year as borrowing costs moved lower following multiple Federal Reserve rate cuts. While the impact was neither immediate nor uniform, easing rates improved deal feasibility, particularly for transactions supported by stable in-place cash flow. One clear trend that emerged was a shift toward certainty-driven financing, with buyers relying more heavily on all-cash acquisitions and traditional bank debt.
5. Labor Market Cooling Was Offset by Strength in ‘Eds and Meds’
Labor market data in 2025 pointed to gradual cooling rather than contraction. Based on the most recently available Bureau of Labor Statistics data (currently reported through September 2025 due to federal government shutdown-related delays), the Baltimore MSA unemployment rate ticked up to 4.3%, marking the first time it reached that level since 2021. Despite the increase, unemployment remains low by historical standards and below the metro’s long-term average, which has typically exceeded 5%.
Importantly, job growth in the Baltimore region has been increasingly driven by education and health services, one of the area’s most stable employment sectors. Over the past year, the sector added more than 13,000 jobs, representing a 4.7% year-over-year increase. Major regional employers such as Johns Hopkins University & Health System, University of Maryland Medical System, LifeBridge Health, MedStar Health, and Towson University continued expanding, reinforcing the role of “eds and meds” as a durable employment base. This concentration in relatively recession-resistant industries helped support household stability and rental demand even as broader job growth moderated.